Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:50:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7c1…d6cd
crypto · 338 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,463 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,753 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,544
Realized−$1,753
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses242 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions13
Markets (closed)325 / 338
History coverage93d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 13 History 325 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days+$451
14 days+$482
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1,455 $1,454 −$1 (-0%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $350 $351 +$1 (+0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 74¢ 74¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $200 $196 −$4 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $150 $163 +$13 (+9%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $150 $153 +$3 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $150 $143 −$7 (-4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $150 $133 −$17 (-11%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 34¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $102 −$4 -4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $616 −$414 -67%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $230 −$137 -60%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $254 −$134 -53%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $607 +$346 +57%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $102 −$9 -8%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $153 +$247 +161%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $414 −$97 -23%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $1,194 −$20 -2%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $116 +$8 +7%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $661 +$389 +59%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $174 +$29 +16%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $76 +$109 +144%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $1,116 −$141 -13%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $153 −$47 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $817 +$45 +6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $849 +$345 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $91 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 09 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 07 $80 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $81 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 07 $71 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$3 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 06 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 06 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 06 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 06 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 06 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 05 $41 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 03 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 29 $12 +$29 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 28 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 28 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 28 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 28 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 28 $48 −$21 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 28 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 28 $25 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$2,353
other 13% +$536
sports 4% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1,457 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 3h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $203 3h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $102 3h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $151 3h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $50 3h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $101 3h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 4h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $98 4h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $152 4h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $44 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 9¢ $24 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 12¢ $23 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $102 7h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $56 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 55¢ $73 7h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $20 8h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $152 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $953 8h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $153 9h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $102 9h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $49 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $101 10h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 23¢ $53 10h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $153 11h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 21¢ $41 11h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 98¢ $338 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 27¢ $72 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 30¢ $29 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 39¢ $57 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -11.7% -20.1% 44% 26% -4.4%
≤30d 100 -4.5% -13.6% 60% 25% -10.2%
≤90d 275 -1.0% -10.5% 75% 20% -10.8%
all 325 -1.9% -11.3% 74% 20% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 20% -11.9%
10% -19.8% 11% -20.4%
15% -27.5% 8% -28.1%
20% -34.6% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,544.13 · official $3,544.13 (match) · 818 history records