Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7c0…dada
sports · 489 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,056 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,074 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$174
Realized−$1,074
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses218 / 269
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$2,728
Open positions2
Markets (closed)487 / 489
History coverage35d
Avg bet$284
Trades / day94.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 487 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days−$4,210
14 days−$3,959
30 days−$4,904
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 65¢ 78¢ $143 $170 +$27 (+19%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $13 $4 −$9 (-68%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 59¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Collignon vs. Shelton: Match O/U 38.5 Over 63¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 11¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs Nemiga 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs AM Gaming 45¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? No 21¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin Nys/Roger-Vasselin 28¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 28¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 38¢ 0¢ $272 $0 −$272 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Indiana Fever 47¢ 0¢ $347 $0 −$347 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 3DMAX 39¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 26¢ 0¢ $424 $0 −$424 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 36¢ 0¢ $492 $0 −$492 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 3¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Phoenix Mercury 39¢ 0¢ $558 $0 −$558 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 57¢ 0¢ $806 $0 −$806 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $531 $0 −$531 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Casper Ruud 31¢ 0¢ $318 $0 −$318 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Yes 52¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $159 +$85 +54%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $21 −$11 -53%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 −$7 -37%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $46 +$44 +96%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $90 −$43 -48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $42 −$41 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $69 +$132 +191%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $178 −$102 -58%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $200 −$18 -9%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $444 +$31 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $139 −$137 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $251 −$250 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $431 −$424 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $120 −$19 -16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $334 −$329 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $31 +$3 +10%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $352 +$327 +93%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $327 −$125 -38%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $276 −$48 -18%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $112 −$56 -50%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Borges/Polmans Jun 10 $179 +$208 +116%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $352 −$26 -8%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $300 +$28 +10%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $816 −$806 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $723 −$55 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $200 +$167 +84%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $185 −$89 -48%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,025 −$151 -15%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 09 $1,208 −$1,189 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $1,287 −$1,035 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $404 +$11 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $343 −$150 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $159 +$62 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 09 $259 +$97 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $369 +$34 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $73 −$70 -96%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $200 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $884 +$845 +96%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $690 +$203 +29%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $745 +$106 +14%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $1,121 +$254 +23%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 09 $262 +$61 +23%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $717 −$247 -34%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $965 +$636 +66%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $162 +$6 +3%
Bratislava: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Petr Brunclik Jun 09 $701 −$502 -72%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 09 $874 −$548 -63%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,010 −$995 -98%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 Jun 09 $100 +$81 +81%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 08 $100 −$98 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$162
other 7% −$483
crypto 3% −$691
world 0% −$5
politics 0% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $141 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Jacob Fearnley 91¢ $244 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 59¢ $41 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 59¢ $12 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 59¢ $62 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 59¢ $8 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 59¢ $36 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 21h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $8 21h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $91 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 45¢ $46 23h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $46 26h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 57¢ $1 26h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 62¢ $49 26h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 62¢ $39 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 34¢ $10 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 26¢ $32 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 82¢ $106 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 74¢ $95 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $66 28h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 25¢ $90 28h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 24¢ $1 28h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 24¢ $11 28h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 59¢ $181 33h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ $71 33h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 63¢ $39 34h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 64¢ $102 34h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 64¢ $59 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 -17.5% -25.4% 44% 35% -22.9%
≤30d 419 -1.6% -11.0% 42% 37% -13.0%
≤90d 487 +4.2% -5.7% 45% 40% -10.0%
all 487 +4.2% -5.7% 45% 40% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 40% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -14.8% 35% -18.6%
15% -23.0% 31% -26.4%
20% -30.5% 24% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $174.17 · official $174.17 (match) · 3500 history records