Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:34:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7b7…8d79
other · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$210
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)2 / 9
History coverage9d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%
Chart Positions 7 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $69 $68 −$1 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 54¢ $30 $35 +$5 (+16%)
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 22¢ 18¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-16%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 40¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$67 +649%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$81
sports 8% +$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $15 20m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 26m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 32¢ $26 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $77 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 7h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 23h
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $17 4d
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 22¢ $31 6d
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $51 8d
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $19 8d
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 46¢ $30 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+238.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +274.4% +238.8% 50% 50% +6.5%
≤30d 2 +274.4% +238.8% 50% 50% +6.5%
≤90d 2 +274.4% +238.8% 50% 50% +6.5%
all 2 +274.4% +238.8% 50% 50% +6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +238.8% 50% +6.5%
10% +206.4% 50% -3.7%
15% +176.8% 50% -13.0%
20% +149.6% 50% -21.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $209.58 · official $209.58 (match) · 12 history records