Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:41:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7a8…580c
other · 5 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$97,230 +280%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,866 · open +$6,921
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$171,352
Realized+$10,866
Unrealized+$6,921
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1 / 5
Avg bet$6,934
Trades / day3498.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 19 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,866
7 days+$10,866
14 days+$10,866
30 days+$10,866
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $68,696 $72,513 +$3,816 (+6%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $29,716 $30,590 +$874 (+3%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $14,008 $15,242 +$1,234 (+9%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $11,692 $11,984 +$292 (+2%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9,353 $10,912 +$1,559 (+17%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7,090 $10,635 +$3,545 (+50%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8,832 $7,157 −$1,675 (-19%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4,672 $3,554 −$1,118 (-24%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3,752 $2,814 −$938 (-25%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,754 $2,630 +$877 (+50%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3,978 $1,989 −$1,989 (-50%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $888 $1,332 +$444 (+50%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+24%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-19%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,470 +$10,866 +739%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$17,788
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 2m
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 2m
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 2m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2m
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 4m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5m
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 6m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 6m
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 7m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 7m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 7m
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $20 7m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 9m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 9m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $10 10m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 10m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 10m
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 11m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 12m
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 13m
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 14m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+659.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +739.2% +659.3% 100% 100% +659.3%
≤30d 1 +739.2% +659.3% 100% 100% +659.3%
≤90d 1 +739.2% +659.3% 100% 100% +659.3%
all 1 +739.2% +659.3% 100% 100% +659.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3498.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +659.3% 100% +659.3%
10% +586.6% 100% +586.6%
15% ← realistic here +520.3% 100% +520.3%
20% +459.4% 100% +459.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $171,352.33 · official $171,352.30 (match) · 3500 history records