Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:55:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa7a4…e371 sports 8 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (201 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$30,404 (+68%) realized +$28,384 · open +$2,020
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +131% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +60% what you keep after slip
Net edge+60%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%6W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$5,629per market
Trades / day201.1pace
Fees−$776est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$14,578now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$32,148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+109.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +131.0% +109.0% 100% 100% +74.6%
≤30d 6 +131.0% +109.0% 100% 100% +74.6%
≤90d 6 +131.0% +109.0% 100% 100% +74.6%
all 6 +131.0% +109.0% 100% 100% +74.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover201.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +109.0% 100% +74.6%
10% +89.0% 83% +57.9%
15% ← realistic here +70.7% 83% +42.6%
20% +54.0% 83% +28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 47% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +93% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +131% · $-wt +93% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
25.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5,021 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$14,578
Realized+$28,384
Unrealized+$2,020
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Est. fees paid−$776
Open positions2
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5,629
Trades / day201.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 6 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $8,658 $8,923 +$265 (+3%)
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 44¢ $3,900 $5,655 +$1,755 (+45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 17 $4,344 +$5,589 +129%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 17 $5,917 +$4,694 +79%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $10,250 +$2,250 +22%
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 17 $5,124 +$5,387 +105%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 17 $5,532 +$8,506 +154%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $1,247 +$3,702 +297%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $114 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $125 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $120 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $129 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $98 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $97 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $104 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $125 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $127 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $123 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $126 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $128 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $97 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $0 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $123 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $125 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $122 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $124 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $121 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $127 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $125 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $132 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $105 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $105 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $103 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $167 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $115 1h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $126 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14,577.74 · official $14,577.74 (match) · 209 history records