Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa796…bf99
crypto · 105 markets active 2h ago
5.0score
+$33 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses63 / 33
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)96 / 105
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 9 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 79¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 81¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 93¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$6 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$34
sports 17% −$3
other 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ $2 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $4 9h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $1 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 9h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 9h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 93¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 +8.6% -1.8% 66% 58% +7.0%
≤30d 96 +8.6% -1.8% 66% 58% +7.0%
≤90d 96 +8.6% -1.8% 66% 58% +7.0%
all 96 +8.6% -1.8% 66% 58% +7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.8% 58% +7.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.2% 48% -3.2%
15% -19.8% 38% -12.6%
20% -27.6% 23% -21.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.33 · official $18.33 (match) · 215 history records