trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| all | 55 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 42% | 35% | -22.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 35% | -22.9% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 31% | -30.3% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 29% | -37.0% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 27% | -43.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $58 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 22? | Oct 21 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Grokipedia released by October 31? | Oct 21 | $21 | −$3 | -13% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | Oct 21 | $542 | −$521 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27? | Oct 21 | $75 | +$14 | +18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 26? | Oct 21 | $198 | +$52 | +26% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21? | Oct 20 | $108 | −$35 | -32% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 20? | Oct 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. 49ers | Oct 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 20 | $369 | −$5 | -1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24? | Oct 20 | $120 | −$30 | -25% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 24? | Oct 20 | $137 | −$45 | -33% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 19? | Oct 19 | $214 | −$205 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 19? | Oct 19 | $123 | −$99 | -80% |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Oct 19 | $112 | −$30 | -27% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 19? | Oct 19 | $53 | +$73 | +139% |
| Missouri vs. Auburn | Oct 19 | $36 | +$27 | +75% |
| USC vs. Notre Dame | Oct 19 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA | Oct 19 | $21 | +$24 | +114% |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31? | Oct 18 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 18 | $58 | +$138 | +238% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Oct 18 | $74 | +$13 | +18% |
| Brewers vs. Dodgers | Oct 17 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31? | Oct 17 | $105 | −$9 | -9% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | Oct 17 | $117 | +$81 | +69% |
| Patriots vs. Saints | Oct 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Jaguars | Oct 12 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Cardinals vs. Colts | Oct 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Georgia vs. Auburn | Oct 12 | $47 | +$53 | +113% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Oct 12 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Florida State | Oct 11 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |
| Oklahoma vs. Texas | Oct 11 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Iowa State vs. Colorado | Oct 11 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Oct 11 | $117 | +$83 | +71% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Oct 11 | $126 | +$74 | +59% |
| Phillies vs. Dodgers | Oct 09 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Dodgers | Oct 09 | $76 | +$124 | +163% |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees | Oct 09 | $73 | −$73 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Oct 09 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Cubs | Oct 09 | $16 | −$1 | -6% |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees | Oct 08 | $25 | +$75 | +300% |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars | Oct 07 | $28 | +$64 | +227% |
| Dodgers vs. Phillies | Oct 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Oct 06 | $86 | +$114 | +133% |
| Patriots vs. Bills | Oct 06 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) | Oct 06 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Seahawks | Oct 05 | $28 | +$13 | +46% |
| Commanders vs. Chargers | Oct 05 | $56 | +$4 | +7% |
| Mercury vs. Aces | Oct 05 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Eagles | Oct 05 | $62 | +$188 | +304% |