Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa781…3795
crypto · 605 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$426 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$426 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$426
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses300 / 305
Open positions0
Markets (closed)605 / 605
History coverage81d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 605 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$35
14 days−$72
30 days−$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$12 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$426
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -8.2% -17.0% 60% 44% -16.0%
≤30d 150 -11.7% -20.1% 56% 40% -20.1%
≤90d 605 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 40% -16.9%
all 605 -11.3% -19.8% 50% 40% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 40% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 27% -24.9%
15% -34.5% 17% -32.1%
20% -40.9% 11% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3183 history records