trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 50% | 50% | -4.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 50% | 50% | -4.3% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 50% | 50% | -4.3% |
| all | 3 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 67% | 67% | +8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.5% | 67% | +8.1% |
| 10% | -6.4% | 33% | -2.3% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 33% | -11.7% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 0% | -20.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 57¢ | 52¢ | $830 | $744 | −$85 (-10%) |
| Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 46¢ | 43¢ | $460 | $430 | −$30 (-7%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 41¢ | 40¢ | $417 | $412 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | No | 27¢ | 36¢ | $307 | $397 | +$90 (+29%) |
| Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 26¢ | $246 | $326 | +$80 (+32%) |
| Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 48¢ | 63¢ | $122 | $159 | +$38 (+31%) |
| Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 31¢ | $116 | $124 | +$8 (+7%) |
| Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 26¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $541 | +$59 | +11% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $234 | −$14 | -6% |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municip | Mar 15 | $560 | +$215 | +38% |