Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:22:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa761…9024
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 37% $0
other 37% −$3
sports 26% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 17h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $7 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -12.6%
≤30d 2 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -12.6%
≤90d 2 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -12.6%
all 2 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 50% -12.6%
10% -15.9% 50% -20.9%
15% -24.1% 50% -28.6%
20% -31.5% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.72 · official $9.72 (match) · 5 history records