trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +17.7% | +6.5% | 33% | 33% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +17.7% | +6.5% | 33% | 33% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 24% | 8% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 8% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 4% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 4% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $34 | $34 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $70 | −$2 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $4 | +$3 | +57% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 21 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 21 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September? | Sep 21 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September? | Sep 21 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Sep 21 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 19 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Sep 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 19 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | Sep 18 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | Sep 18 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Sep 17 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 17 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 16 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 16 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $250 on September 15? | Sep 16 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $350 in September? | Sep 15 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | Sep 15 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | Sep 14 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Sharon Horgan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Dram | Sep 14 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September? | Sep 14 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Sep 13 | $31 | $0 | +0% |