Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:57:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa75b…6bdb crypto 1801 markets active 1h ago coverage 87d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 87d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$280 (+1%) realized +$280 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate71%1285W / 516L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day20.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$45
14 days−$103
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$407
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -37.0% -43.0% 52% 33% -41.4%
≤30d 325 -6.6% -15.5% 74% 66% -14.5%
≤90d 1801 -3.1% -12.3% 71% 59% -10.3%
all 1801 -3.1% -12.3% 71% 59% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 59% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 37% -18.9%
15% -28.4% 23% -26.7%
20% -35.4% 12% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$21 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

87d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1285 / 516
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1801 / 1801
History coverage87d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1801 Trades
no open positions (162 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records