trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Jun 09 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Jun 06 | $25 | +$23 | +90% |
| Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 | May 31 | $12 | +$8 | +62% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | May 31 | $14 | +$9 | +64% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5 | May 30 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 15 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | Apr 11 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Apr 11 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Apr 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $5 | +$4 | +72% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | Apr 11 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $2 | $0 | -25% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $10 | −$5 | -52% |
| Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 11 | $4 | +$7 | +185% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Apr 11 | $4 | +$1 | +21% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 67% | 33% | -2.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -31.5% | -38.0% | 44% | 33% | -22.3% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -24.4% | -31.6% | 36% | 32% | -27.4% |
| all | 22 | -24.4% | -31.6% | 36% | 32% | -27.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.6% | 32% | -27.4% |
| 10% | -38.1% | 27% | -34.4% |
| 15% | -44.1% | 27% | -40.7% |
| 20% | -49.6% | 27% | -46.5% |