Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T00:17:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa752…e19f crypto 178 markets active 1h ago coverage 144d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,020 (+8%) realized +$1,020 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate36%64W / 114L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$72per market
Trades / day7.0pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$104
7 days+$437
14 days+$437
30 days+$437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 75% +$849
crypto 19% +$103
sports 5% +$209
world 1% −$36
politics 0% −$16
tech 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +70.9% +54.6% 71% 71% +19.3%
≤30d 7 +70.9% +54.6% 71% 71% +19.3%
≤90d 7 +70.9% +54.6% 71% 71% +19.3%
all 178 -18.7% -26.5% 36% 33% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.5% 33% -1.8%
10% -33.5% 30% -11.2%
15% -39.9% 26% -19.7%
20% -45.8% 19% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +32% too few recent
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt +9% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -12% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$74 vs −$32 · ×2.31 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

144d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,020
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses64 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)178 / 178
History coverage144d
Avg bet$72
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 178 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $51 +$127 +250%
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $10 +$27 +260%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? Jun 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $101 +$53 +52%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $203 −$109 -54%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? Jun 24 $756 +$289 +38%
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 22 $202 +$101 +50%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? Mar 28 $693 +$73 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? Mar 28 $952 +$71 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Mar 27 $441 −$333 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? Mar 26 $300 −$203 -68%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 24 $164 −$110 -67%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Mar 24 $198 −$193 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? Mar 23 $204 −$204 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? Mar 21 $220 −$15 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Mar 20 $724 +$249 +34%
Will Petar Stanic record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UE Mar 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Andrija Živković record the most goal contributions in the 2025-2 Mar 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Mar 19 $154 +$74 +48%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? Mar 18 $86 +$104 +121%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? Mar 18 $669 +$137 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? Mar 17 $338 +$338 +100%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31? Mar 16 $9 −$6 -71%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? Mar 16 $16 +$48 +300%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? Mar 16 $855 −$519 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? Mar 16 $278 +$295 +106%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? Mar 15 $196 +$98 +50%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Mar 14 $51 −$32 -64%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Mar 14 $51 +$28 +54%
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" in Wisconsin on Thursday? Mar 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Adam Schenk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in Mar 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Henry Lebioda finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic Mar 14 $6 −$6 -100%
First Blood in Game 4? Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Mar 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? Mar 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will NVIDIA reach $220 in February? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Mar 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will NVIDIA reach $252 in February? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? Mar 13 $53 +$22 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? Mar 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Mar 13 $200 +$100 +50%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? Mar 11 $224 +$226 +101%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? Mar 11 $3 −$2 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 29¢ $37 1h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 8¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Ghana? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 1h
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $51 2h
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners SELL Under 100¢ $154 3d
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 65¢ $101 3d
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? BUY Yes 72¢ $756 3d
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 22¢ $94 4d
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 46¢ $203 4d
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 66¢ $202 6d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 99¢ $766 91d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? BUY Yes 90¢ $693 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $34 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $30 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $5 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $10 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $1 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $77 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $3 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $6 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $23 91d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $60 91d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $108 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $40 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $48 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $12 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $6 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 92d
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 92d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1139 history records