Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa747…afe6
crypto · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$256 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses43 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day43.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$256
14 days−$256
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$14 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$15 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$13 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 08 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $19 +$15 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 07 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $22 −$14 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$27 +364%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $16 +$10 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $16 +$13 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 07 $19 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 07 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 07 $12 +$15 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$13 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $14 +$15 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 07 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $35 +$35 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 07 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$11 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$8 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 07 $34 +$38 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $42 −$40 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$256
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $17 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $34 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $22 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -6.1% -15.1% 38% 35% -25.6%
≤30d 114 -6.1% -15.1% 38% 35% -25.6%
≤90d 114 -6.1% -15.1% 38% 35% -25.6%
all 114 -6.1% -15.1% 38% 35% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 35% -25.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 34% -32.8%
15% -30.6% 32% -39.3%
20% -37.4% 30% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 316 history records