Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa733…6f9c crypto 185 markets active 6d ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (691 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$67 (+1%) realized +$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate45%101W / 125L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day691.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (691 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -31.1% -37.6% 41% 34% -15.0%
≤30d 226 -19.8% -27.4% 45% 38% -13.7%
≤90d 226 -19.8% -27.4% 45% 38% -13.7%
all 226 -19.8% -27.4% 45% 38% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover691.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.4% 38% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.3% 28% -21.9%
15% -40.7% 23% -29.5%
20% -46.5% 15% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -40% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
17.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$12 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses101 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 185
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$30
Trades / day691.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 226 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$7 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -111%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$8 -204%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$16 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records