Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T20:36:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa72b…c600 crypto 1778 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$75 (-1%) realized −$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate91%1634W / 164L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day234.1pace
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$166
7 days−$205
14 days−$182
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% +$38
other 28% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1635 -2.4% -11.7% 90% 14% -11.7%
≤30d 1798 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 13% -11.3%
≤90d 1798 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 13% -11.3%
all 1798 -2.0% -11.3% 91% 13% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 13% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 5% -19.8%
15% -27.5% 3% -27.6%
20% -34.6% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1634 / 164
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1798 / 1778
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day234.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1798 Trades
no open positions (157 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's a Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Me Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Jun 15 $3 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Jun 15 $1 −$1 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Me Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$4 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$2 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 17m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 21m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records