trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 100% | 67% | +10.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 57% | +9.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 80% | 40% | -14.8% |
| all | 28 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 79% | 36% | -12.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 36% | -12.9% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 11% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 7% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17? | No | 62¢ | 56¢ | $150 | $136 | −$14 (-9%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17? | No | 90¢ | 98¢ | $50 | $55 | +$5 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$39 | +38% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 26? | May 26 | $40 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 11? | May 11 | $39 | +$6 | +14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or higher on April 5? | Apr 05 | $200 | +$19 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 5? | Apr 05 | $199 | +$25 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 4? | Apr 04 | $200 | −$24 | -12% |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Apr 04 | $10 | −$7 | -74% |
| Raptors vs. Grizzlies | Apr 04 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Apr 04 | $201 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 3? | Apr 03 | $32 | +$4 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 29? | Mar 29 | $51 | −$41 | -81% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 28? | Mar 29 | $47 | +$4 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 27? | Mar 27 | $40 | +$7 | +18% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $202 | −$201 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 22? | Mar 22 | $53 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11? | Mar 11 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11? | Mar 11 | $47 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4? | Mar 11 | $43 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on Febr | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14? | Feb 17 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Feb 10 | $1,002 | $0 | -0% |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Feb 03 | $14 | −$12 | -88% |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Feb 01 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |