trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -26.6% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -33.7% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -40.2% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 24 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 18 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 23 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship? | Oct 26 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 26 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns win the AFC Championship? | Jul 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -25% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025? | May 10 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2025? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Feb 11 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | Dec 18 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 15 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | Nov 26 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | Nov 26 | $68 | $0 | -0% |