Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa714…cd1f
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
−$2 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses24 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +10.0% -0.5% 83% 52% -5.2%
≤30d 29 +10.0% -0.5% 83% 52% -5.2%
≤90d 29 +10.0% -0.5% 83% 52% -5.2%
all 29 +10.0% -0.5% 83% 52% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.5% 52% -5.2%
10% ← realistic here -10.0% 31% -14.2%
15% -18.7% 21% -22.5%
20% -26.7% 10% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 68 history records