Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:40:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa712…982c
crypto · 762 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,059 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,912 · open +$853
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,819
Realized−$2,912
Unrealized+$853
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses383 / 345
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$153
Open positions34
Markets (closed)728 / 762
History coverage46d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 34 History 728 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,516
7 days−$2,542
14 days−$5,608
30 days−$2,919
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 60¢ $1,685 $2,624 +$939 (+56%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 38¢ 34¢ $1,641 $1,453 −$188 (-11%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $912 $904 −$8 (-1%)
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 62¢ 62¢ $479 $477 −$2 (-0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 29¢ 81¢ $74 $210 +$136 (+184%)
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 68¢ 68¢ $98 $98 +$1 (+1%)
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 77¢ 69¢ $108 $97 −$11 (-10%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $88 $87 −$1 (-1%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 62¢ 62¢ $81 $80 −$1 (-1%)
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 74¢ 84¢ $64 $73 +$9 (+14%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-2%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $68 $67 −$1 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 25¢ 19¢ $64 $48 −$16 (-25%)
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $46 $46 −$1 (-2%)
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-2%)
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $44 $41 −$3 (-7%)
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 76¢ $38 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $38 $38 −$1 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 32¢ 33¢ $35 $36 +$1 (+3%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-2%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 64¢ 68¢ $26 $27 +$2 (+7%)
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 55¢ 54¢ $28 $27 −$0 (-2%)
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 66¢ 64¢ $26 $26 −$1 (-3%)
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 13 $4 +$6 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +280%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $12 +$7 +60%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,908 −$340 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $130 +$24 +18%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $879 +$919 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $541 −$509 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +266%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $65 +$26 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $640 −$1,254 -196%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $710 −$1,394 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$4,597
sports 33% +$2,373
crypto 23% −$516
world 2% +$661
politics 1% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 65¢ $328 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 47m
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 66¢ $27 1h
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 55¢ $28 1h
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 77¢ $78 1h
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 60¢ $12 1h
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 60¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 77¢ $31 1h
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 67¢ $14 1h
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 52¢ $47 1h
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 68¢ $7 1h
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 68¢ $91 1h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SELL Samsung Lions 100¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 32¢ $36 1h
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group BUY Yes 40¢ $45 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 62¢ $9 2h
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions BUY Samsung Lions 39¢ $4 2h
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 62¢ $16 2h
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY No 62¢ $82 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $20 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 61¢ $12 5h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $46 6h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 44¢ $69 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 24¢ $39 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +3.9% -6.0% 53% 52% -28.5%
≤30d 381 +4.5% -5.4% 54% 54% -7.9%
≤90d 728 +2.5% -7.3% 53% 52% -6.4%
all 728 +2.5% -7.3% 53% 52% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 52% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 52% -15.4%
15% -24.2% 51% -23.6%
20% -31.7% 50% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,819.18 · official $6,818.53 (match) · 2802 history records