Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:18:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6fd…9cc9 sports 92 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,093 (-3%) realized −$1,093 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate84%77W / 15L
Whale WR74%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$436per market
Trades / day34.5pace
Fees−$198est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$103
14 days−$461
30 days−$764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 0% -21.1%
≤30d 86 -1.3% -10.7% 85% 45% -11.2%
≤90d 92 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 46% -12.5%
all 92 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 46% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 46% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 4% -20.9%
15% -27.9% 1% -28.5%
20% -34.9% 1% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 74% (≥$603) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$47 vs −$332 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,093
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses77 / 15
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)92 / 92
History coverage32d
Avg bet$436
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 92 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $653 −$107 -16%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $150 +$5 +3%
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $124 +$26 +21%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $351 +$23 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $753 +$115 +15%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $552 +$63 +11%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $954 +$65 +7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $653 −$638 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $352 +$67 +19%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $202 −$150 -74%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $853 +$71 +8%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $301 +$23 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $854 +$174 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $352 +$71 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $402 +$94 +23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $552 +$82 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $552 +$71 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $452 −$78 -17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $261 +$45 +17%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $401 +$29 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $805 −$81 -10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $703 +$82 +12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $100 +$14 +14%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $151 +$27 +18%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $552 +$62 +11%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $352 +$82 +23%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $503 −$388 -77%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,003 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,904 −$21 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,202 +$51 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $738 +$62 +8%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$4 +4%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $251 +$42 +17%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $201 +$16 +8%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $400 +$13 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $603 +$111 +18%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$5 +11%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $653 +$111 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $150 +$9 +6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $301 +$43 +14%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $604 −$150 -25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $803 +$97 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,308 +$117 +9%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $221 +$22 +10%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $812 +$89 +11%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $465 +$31 +7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $200 +$15 +7%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $101 +$21 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $442 40m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 92¢ $50 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 92¢ $50 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 83¢ $50 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 71¢ $50 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 77¢ $50 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 59¢ $51 45m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 35¢ $41 49m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 40¢ $47 50m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 81¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 85¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 15¢ $15 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 84¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 83¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 96¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 95¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 92¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $155 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 98¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 96¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 96¢ $50 1h
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Dragon Ranger Gaming 100¢ $150 10d
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 99¢ $49 10d
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 99¢ $50 10d
Honor of Kings: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 49¢ $25 10d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $373 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $50 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 98¢ $50 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $50 13d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $50 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1094 history records