Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T13:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6f4…fda9 crypto 140 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$131 (-5%) realized −$131 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate78%109W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day71.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$169
other 4% +$32
sports 3% +$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -3.0% -12.2% 78% 49% -11.2%
≤30d 139 -3.0% -12.2% 78% 49% -11.2%
≤90d 139 -3.0% -12.2% 78% 49% -11.2%
all 139 -3.0% -12.2% 78% 49% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 49% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 31% -19.7%
15% -28.3% 12% -27.4%
20% -35.3% 4% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$18 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses109 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)139 / 140
History coverage4d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day71.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 139 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$5 +9%
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AN Jun 20 $20 +$10 +50%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $10 +$23 +221%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $53 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $35 −$35 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 2h
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY 31¢ $10 15h
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AN BUY 66¢ $20 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 96¢ $33 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 62¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 415 history records