Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:52:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6eb…9e30
sports · 283 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$99 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$59
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses156 / 123
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions4
Markets (closed)279 / 283
History coverage73d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 4 History 279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$23
14 days+$60
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 58¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 +$3 +42%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $15 +$7 +46%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $15 +$3 +18%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $10 +$6 +55%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $10 +$9 +85%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $10 +$28 +277%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Santiago De La Fuente Jun 08 $10 −$1 -9%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $20 −$13 -65%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $10 +$1 +10%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Jun 08 $10 +$2 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $20 +$7 +32%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Mert Alkaya vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Jun 07 $7 +$2 +32%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $10 +$5 +52%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $10 +$3 +34%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $10 +$9 +93%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$7 +65%
Panama vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $10 +$9 +86%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $10 +$7 +70%
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Jun 05 $10 +$5 +48%
Hungary vs. Finland: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $10 +$12 +114%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $40 −$8 -20%
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Jun 05 $15 −$3 -18%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $18 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$56
other 36% +$15
world 1% −$4
crypto 0% −$9
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 58¢ $10 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 83¢ $8 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $10 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $10 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $5 28h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $10 30h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $10 30h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 83¢ $10 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $10 41h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $10 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 47h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $10 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 47h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $10 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $6 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $5 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $5 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 73¢ $10 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 89¢ $6 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 74¢ $5 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Otto Virtanen 50¢ $9 3d
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Otto Virtanen 52¢ $10 4d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 84¢ $15 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 4d
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4d
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4d
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 78¢ $5 4d
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 64¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +0.2% -9.4% 62% 57% -3.7%
≤30d 168 +2.3% -7.5% 55% 52% -7.5%
≤90d 279 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 53% -7.4%
all 279 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 53% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 53% -7.4%
10% -17.5% 48% -16.3%
15% -25.5% 42% -24.4%
20% -32.8% 27% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.12 · official $38.12 (match) · 632 history records