trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -99.0% | -99.1% | 0% | 0% | -99.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -64.5% | -67.9% | 22% | 22% | -75.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -64.5% | -67.9% | 22% | 22% | -75.4% |
| all | 13 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 38% | 38% | -74.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.1% | 38% | -74.1% |
| 10% | -44.1% | 31% | -76.6% |
| 15% | -49.5% | 31% | -78.9% |
| 20% | -54.4% | 23% | -80.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 23¢ | $2,765 | $3,430 | +$665 (+24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $108 | −$107 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Jun 28 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Jun 28 | $52 | −$24 | -46% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $193 | −$190 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Jun 19 | $16 | −$15 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 19 | $20 | +$3 | +17% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $207 | −$13 | -6% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 14 | $290 | −$289 | -99% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$98 | +98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | Feb 14 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Feb 14 | $4 | +$2 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Feb 14 | $2 | +$3 | +171% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Feb 13 | $2 | +$1 | +54% |