Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:11:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6d9…f7f5
crypto · 377 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$50 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses285 / 90
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)375 / 377
History coverage138d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$7
14 days−$10
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No 49¢ 54¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+10%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -47%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $7 +$4 +54%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 11 $8 −$2 -25%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 +$5 +50%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $7 +$1 +19%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $7 +$1 +14%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5 Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 07 $9 +$15 +164%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $8 +$12 +146%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $10 +$7 +76%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 06 $5 +$1 +13%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5 Jun 05 $15 +$6 +42%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Jun 02 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 +2%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5) Jun 01 $9 $0 +2%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? Jun 01 $19 +$1 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 01 $19 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5 Jun 01 $1 +$3 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET May 30 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET May 29 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET May 26 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET May 25 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET May 21 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET May 20 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET May 20 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET May 19 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET May 19 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET May 18 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET May 18 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET May 17 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET May 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET May 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET May 15 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET May 15 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET May 15 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$40
politics 16% −$2
other 14% +$1
sports 13% −$7
world 8% −$2
economics 1% −$1
culture 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 95¢ $6 1h
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay SELL No 80¢ $7 1h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 82¢ $5 7h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 38¢ $3 8h
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $3 36h
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? BUY No 65¢ $3 39h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 67¢ $6 2d
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Knicks 83¢ $5 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 89¢ $8 2d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 72¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Spurs 61¢ $7 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 59¢ $5 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 55¢ $10 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 66¢ $10 3d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 84¢ $7 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 88¢ $7 3d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5 BUY Under 22¢ $0 4d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5 BUY Under 22¢ $8 4d
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay BUY No 83¢ $7 5d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Angels 40¢ $8 5d
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 37¢ $9 5d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 36¢ $5 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Seattle Mariners 56¢ $10 7d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 60¢ $9 7d
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Knicks 88¢ $5 7d
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 53¢ $10 8d
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 8d
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 8d
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 70¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -1.0% -10.4% 53% 53% -4.2%
≤30d 53 -0.7% -10.2% 79% 23% -11.0%
≤90d 232 -0.7% -10.1% 81% 6% -10.1%
all 375 -1.7% -11.0% 76% 4% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 4% -10.4%
10% -19.5% 2% -18.9%
15% -27.3% 2% -26.8%
20% -34.4% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.87 · official $12.87 (match) · 1638 history records