trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 100% | 0% | -6.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 100% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 90% | 10% | -10.0% |
| all | 196 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 37% | 33% | -15.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.2% | 33% | -15.8% |
| 10% | -32.4% | 30% | -23.9% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 29% | -31.2% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 25% | -38.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on June 4? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Mar 18 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 18 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls | Mar 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Wizards | Mar 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Mar 15 | $2 | +$1 | +45% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Mar 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Kings | Mar 14 | $2 | +$2 | +70% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 14 | $3 | +$2 | +86% |
| Nets vs. 76ers | Mar 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Mar 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Mar 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Mar 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Mar 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pelicans | Mar 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Mar 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Grizzlies | Mar 10 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Warriors vs. Jazz | Mar 10 | $3 | +$6 | +234% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Mar 10 | $3 | +$17 | +619% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Mar 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Heat | Mar 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Mar 08 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz | Mar 07 | $3 | $0 | +18% |
| Mavericks vs. Hornets | Mar 07 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Mar 07 | $3 | +$2 | +45% |
| Hawks vs. Bucks | Mar 07 | $3 | +$3 | +100% |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics | Mar 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Suns | Mar 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Mar 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Mar 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Clippers | Mar 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Mar 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hawks | Mar 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | Feb 28 | $2 | +$3 | +150% |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Feb 28 | $4 | +$1 | +27% |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Feb 28 | $4 | +$5 | +133% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Feb 28 | $7 | +$2 | +33% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Feb 28 | $12 | +$4 | +35% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Feb 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Hawks | Feb 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans | Feb 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |