Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:47:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6d4…2f1e
weather · 792 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$959 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$973 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,618
Realized+$973
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses630 / 44
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions118
Markets (closed)674 / 792
History coverage10d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day289.9
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 118 History 674 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$143
7 days+$362
14 days+$973
30 days+$973
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? No 97¢ 99¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 95¢ 96¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $38 $38 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 95¢ 97¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? No 93¢ 88¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15? No 97¢ 98¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15? No 95¢ 98¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14? No 92¢ 92¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15? No 97¢ 98¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14? No 96¢ 97¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? No 94¢ 87¢ $28 $26 −$2 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? No 95¢ 97¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? No 94¢ 96¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 14? No 93¢ 86¢ $25 $24 −$2 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15? No 91¢ 88¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 15? No 96¢ 97¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15? No 98¢ 99¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15? No 91¢ 96¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? No 94¢ 97¢ $21 $22 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? No 94¢ 88¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15? No 92¢ 94¢ $21 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 91¢ 92¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $50 +$50 +100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $21 +$9 +42%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $301 +$156 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $26 +$3 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $37 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June Jun 13 $34 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 +$4 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $41 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $27 +$3 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $155 +$55 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$10 -67%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 +$2 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 +$2 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $14 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 70% +$347
sports 27% +$482
other 3% +$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $1 4m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $2 16m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $1 22m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 15? BUY No 94¢ $7 22m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $5 22m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 15? BUY No 94¢ $2 22m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $2 22m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $6 45m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15? BUY No 90¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15? BUY No 90¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 15? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 15? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15? BUY No 97¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 14? BUY No 89¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 88¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 91¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 560 +1.3% -8.4% 93% 11% -6.4%
≤30d 674 +10.3% -0.2% 93% 14% -2.7%
≤90d 674 +10.3% -0.2% 93% 14% -2.7%
all 674 +10.3% -0.2% 93% 14% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover289.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.2% 14% -2.7%
10% ← realistic here -9.7% 7% -12.0%
15% -18.5% 5% -20.5%
20% -26.5% 5% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,618.18 · official $1,618.85 (match) · 3500 history records