Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6d3…2051
world · 32 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$3 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses13 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage325d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $40 +$2 +4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 10 $6 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $39 $0 +0%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 08 $40 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $4 $0 +4%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $49 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 06 $40 +$1 +2%
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Dec 16 $79 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Oct 21 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Jul 25 $17 $0 -1%
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? Jul 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? Jul 25 $63 $0 +0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jul 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 25 $13 $0 +0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jul 25 $77 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? Jul 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July? Jul 25 $4 $0 +10%
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jul 25 $10 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Jul 24 $79 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jul 24 $79 $0 -0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? Jul 24 $7 $0 +2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 24 $74 $0 +0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jul 24 $72 $0 +0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 24 $8 $0 -0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? Jul 24 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship? Jul 24 $19 $0 +0%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 23 $65 $0 +0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 23 $14 $0 +0%
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 23 $3 −$1 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 33% +$3
politics 29% $0
other 20% $0
economics 9% $0
sports 8% $0
culture 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 78¢ $42 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 75¢ $40 3h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $8 5h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $32 6h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $40 9h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 79¢ $18 14h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 79¢ $22 14h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 78¢ $40 16h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 33¢ $6 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 33¢ $6 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 76¢ $44 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 76¢ $44 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $27 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $13 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $39 3d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $5 5d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $35 5d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 99¢ $11 5d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 99¢ $29 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 18¢ $8 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 18¢ $8 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $13 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $14 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $27 6d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL No 68¢ $40 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +1.2% -8.5% 56% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 9 +1.2% -8.5% 56% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 9 +1.2% -8.5% 56% 0% -8.8%
all 32 +0.2% -9.3% 41% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 155 history records