Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:17:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6d2…12f4 crypto 1320 markets active 1h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (166 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$461 (-6%) realized −$461 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate43%544W / 722L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day165.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$527
7 days−$545
14 days−$217
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$506
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (166 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 494 -19.9% -27.5% 32% 32% -31.9%
≤30d 1266 +2.2% -7.5% 43% 42% -10.2%
≤90d 1266 +2.2% -7.5% 43% 42% -10.2%
all 1266 +2.2% -7.5% 43% 42% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover165.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 42% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 40% -18.8%
15% -24.5% 38% -26.6%
20% -31.9% 36% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$4 · ×1.32 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$461
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses544 / 722
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1266 / 1320
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day165.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1266 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records