Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6d1…dd97
sports · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$78
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses5 / 6
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions7
Markets (closed)11 / 18
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 7 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 52¢ $10 $26 +$16 (+162%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 12¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 20¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 71¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $15 −$14 -92%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $41 +$22 +54%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$8 +42%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +81%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $31 +$16 +51%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $25 −$20 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$28
other 34% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 29¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $10 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 13¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 17¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 51¢ $20 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 25¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $10 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Heretics $1 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 10¢ $5 3h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 13¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 21¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 35¢ $43 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 13¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 21¢ $10 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 47¢ $9 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 25¢ $5 26h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 27h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 40h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $5 40h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 39¢ $46 41h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 12¢ $10 41h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -15.4% -23.4% 45% 45% -10.2%
≤30d 11 -15.4% -23.4% 45% 45% -10.2%
≤90d 11 -15.4% -23.4% 45% 45% -10.2%
all 11 -15.4% -23.4% 45% 45% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.4% 45% -10.2%
10% -30.8% 45% -18.8%
15% -37.4% 45% -26.6%
20% -43.6% 36% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.25 · official $78.25 (match) · 37 history records