Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:40:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6bb…6f23 crypto 1572 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$11 (+0%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate85%1337W / 235L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day44.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days+$8
14 days−$3
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 +1.1% -8.5% 87% 26% -8.9%
≤30d 1443 +0.1% -9.5% 85% 29% -9.6%
≤90d 1572 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 27% -10.1%
all 1572 -0.2% -9.7% 85% 27% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 27% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 8% -18.7%
15% -26.2% 2% -26.6%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1337 / 235
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1572 / 1572
History coverage41d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1572 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3378 history records