Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6b7…2309
crypto · 935 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$366 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$366 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$366
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses688 / 247
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)935 / 935
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day261.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 935 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$211
14 days−$366
30 days−$366
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$16 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$366
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 +4.7% -5.3% 74% 50% -14.5%
≤30d 935 +4.4% -5.5% 74% 47% -13.3%
≤90d 935 +4.4% -5.5% 74% 47% -13.3%
all 935 +4.4% -5.5% 74% 47% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover261.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 47% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 20% -21.6%
15% -22.8% 8% -29.2%
20% -30.4% 3% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records