Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T21:38:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa6b4…e861 sports 740 markets active 1h ago coverage 129d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 129d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,891 (-2%) realized −$5,891 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate86%639W / 100L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$343per market
Trades / day25.1pace
Fees−$332est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$925
7 days−$307
14 days−$908
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 86% −$3,456
crypto 7% −$493
other 7% +$316
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +7.8% -2.5% 90% 65% -11.7%
≤30d 90 +1.4% -8.3% 90% 39% -9.8%
≤90d 291 -0.9% -10.3% 90% 20% -11.0%
all 739 +1.2% -8.5% 86% 21% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 21% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 7% -19.4%
15% -25.2% 4% -27.2%
20% -32.5% 3% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$530) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$30 vs −$238 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

129d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,891
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses639 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$332
Open positions0
Markets (closed)739 / 740
History coverage129d ⚠
Avg bet$343
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 739 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $1,071 +$172 +16%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $930 +$144 +16%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $840 +$90 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $652 +$188 +29%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $505 +$142 +28%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 18 $389 +$116 +30%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 18 $320 +$72 +23%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $79 +$40 +51%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $66 +$6 +10%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $72 +$9 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $62 +$5 +7%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $59 +$2 +4%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,206 −$1,206 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1,135 +$70 +6%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $277 +$14 +5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $927 +$194 +21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $824 +$101 +12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $737 +$90 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,403 −$664 -47%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1,000 +$108 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,094 +$130 +12%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $999 +$95 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $974 +$63 +6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $94 −$93 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,027 +$40 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,019 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,000 +$19 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $999 +$108 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $940 +$214 +23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $869 +$72 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $867 +$2 +0%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $730 +$136 +19%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $665 +$66 +10%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $645 +$19 +3%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $587 +$44 +7%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 09 $12 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $140 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $370 +$86 +23%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $486 +$26 +5%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $440 +$43 +10%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $382 +$57 +15%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $325 +$17 +5%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $341 +$42 +12%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $216 +$109 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $996 −$995 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $518 +$89 +17%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $439 +$52 +12%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $902 +$55 +6%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $744 +$157 +21%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $730 +$15 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $1,243 40m
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 85¢ $716 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 88¢ $254 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 88¢ $101 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $1,075 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 87¢ $113 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 86¢ $817 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $930 1h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 90¢ $840 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL Spirit 100¢ $840 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY Spirit 77¢ $652 8h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $501 23h
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $4 23h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 77¢ $240 25h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 77¢ $150 25h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 100¢ $392 25h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 81¢ $320 26h
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 BUY 69¢ $118 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $0 5d
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 BUY 66¢ $79 5d
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $80 5d
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 89¢ $72 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $72 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 91¢ $66 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $66 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 92¢ $62 5d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $61 5d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 96¢ $59 5d
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $7 5d
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $1,199 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records