Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:27:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6b1…e3f6
crypto · 568 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$288 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$284 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$284
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses339 / 228
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)567 / 568
History coverage55d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 567 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$90
14 days−$227
30 days−$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No 16¢ 12¢ $17 $13 −$4 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 33¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Legacy 59¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$6 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$13 +398%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $56 −$55 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$7 +146%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 06 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $36 −$36 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 06 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$8 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$14 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +10%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 05 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$45
sports 35% −$199
other 1% −$5
world 0% −$17
politics 0% −$13
tech 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 35¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 34¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 5h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY No 12¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $9 11h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $56 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $51 30h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $2 33h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $3 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +1.6% -8.1% 48% 48% -45.1%
≤30d 462 -6.7% -15.6% 58% 50% -20.8%
≤90d 567 -3.1% -12.3% 60% 52% -16.7%
all 567 -3.1% -12.3% 60% 52% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 52% -16.7%
10% -20.7% 44% -24.7%
15% -28.4% 36% -32.0%
20% -35.4% 27% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.81 · official $12.81 (match) · 1354 history records