Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:11:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6af…b5ef
sports · 423 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$379 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$84
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,416
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$84
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses247 / 170
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$259
Open positions6
Markets (closed)417 / 423
History coverage92d
Avg bet$127
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 6 History 417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$366
7 days+$621
14 days+$571
30 days+$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $800 $794 −$6 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $500 $462 −$38 (-8%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $500 $427 −$73 (-15%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $300 $338 +$38 (+12%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $200 $197 −$3 (-1%)
Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Racing Club de Lens 70¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) Rosenborg BK 55¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
UC Sampdoria vs. Venezia FC: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-22? No 73¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
D.C. United SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26? No 70¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) Al Hilal Saudi Club 71¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) Nottingham Forest FC 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
UC Sampdoria vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-19? No 56¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $508 +$534 +105%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 13 $306 −$300 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $305 −$300 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $304 −$300 -99%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $29 +$128 +442%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $611 +$859 +141%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $51 −$50 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 31 $51 +$306 +596%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $304 +$232 +76%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? May 30 $369 −$13 -4%
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? May 30 $306 −$306 -100%
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5 May 24 $51 +$31 +62%
San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $20 +$10 +50%
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $51 +$42 +83%
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5 May 24 $50 +$20 +40%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $51 +$26 +51%
D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5 May 24 $50 +$12 +25%
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $506 +$356 +70%
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $50 +$14 +27%
D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5 May 24 $20 +$15 +76%
FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5 May 24 $20 +$13 +65%
St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 +$30 +60%
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 −$50 -99%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 −$50 -99%
St. Louis City SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5 May 23 $80 +$20 +24%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5 May 23 $81 +$23 +29%
San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$28 +34%
Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$40 +50%
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$42 +52%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$42 +52%
Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$59 +73%
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$62 +76%
San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5 May 17 $10 +$20 +197%
San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5 May 17 $30 +$26 +86%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5 May 17 $31 +$39 +129%
Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 May 17 $31 +$55 +180%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5 May 17 $242 −$237 -98%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 3.5 May 17 $272 −$270 -99%
Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5 May 16 $31 −$30 -98%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 May 16 $31 −$30 -98%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5 May 16 $81 −$80 -99%
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 May 16 $31 −$30 -98%
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 May 16 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$236
other 40% +$47
world 1% +$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $203 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $807 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $204 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $306 33h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $305 33h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $304 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $508 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 18¢ $29 4d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $509 4d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $308 6d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? BUY Yes 36¢ $51 12d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 15d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $304 15d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 66¢ $356 15d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 67¢ $369 21d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $102 21d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 18¢ $512 21d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $513 21d
San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $20 22d
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 39¢ $20 22d
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $51 22d
Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 43¢ $20 22d
Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 66¢ $51 22d
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $20 22d
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 71¢ $50 22d
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $20 22d
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $51 22d
D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $20 22d
D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 80¢ $50 22d
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 58¢ $506 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +64.7% +49.0% 50% 50% +17.9%
≤30d 64 -7.0% -15.8% 45% 44% -5.7%
≤90d 347 -0.9% -10.3% 59% 59% -6.9%
all 417 -2.2% -11.5% 59% 59% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 59% -9.3%
10% -20.0% 57% -18.0%
15% -27.7% 40% -25.9%
20% -34.8% 25% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,415.72 · official $2,415.72 (match) · 768 history records