trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 54% | 8% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 54% | 8% | -20.7% |
| all | 13 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 54% | 8% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 8% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 8% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 8% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 8% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $1,108 | $2 | −$1,106 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $378 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | Jun 10 | $87 | −$1 | -1% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 10 | $334 | +$16 | +5% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 09 | $708 | +$31 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $1,488 | +$37 | +2% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 03 | $2 | −$1 | -29% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 03 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $4,915 | −$1,327 | -27% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $1,074 | +$94 | +9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 31 | $184 | +$13 | +7% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |