Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa6a6…8651
crypto · 406 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,705 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,638 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$3,638
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses187 / 309
Open positions4
Markets (closed)496 / 406
History coverage6d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day554.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 496 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,994
7 days−$3,638
14 days−$3,638
30 days−$3,638
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $30 −$20 (-40%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $40 $15 −$25 (-62%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $24 $7 −$17 (-69%)
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes 15¢ 5¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $413 −$413 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$756
other 1% −$62
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-34.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 496 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 20% -37.5%
≤30d 496 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 20% -37.5%
≤90d 496 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 20% -37.5%
all 496 -27.3% -34.2% 38% 20% -37.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover554.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.2% 20% -37.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.5% 15% -43.5%
15% -46.3% 13% -48.9%
20% -51.5% 11% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.36 · official $55.36 (match) · 3500 history records