Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa697…59d5
sports · 186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,742 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$208 · open −$509
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$125,809
Realized+$208
Unrealized−$509
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses17 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2,345
Open positions201
Markets (closed)19 / 186
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,115
Trades / day3173.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 201 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$208
7 days+$208
14 days+$208
30 days+$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? No 82¢ 80¢ $8,199 $8,039 −$160 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $5,995 $6,045 +$50 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 78¢ $6,004 $5,803 −$201 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 84¢ $4,860 $5,010 +$150 (+3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Under 81¢ 86¢ $3,539 $3,783 +$244 (+7%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 66¢ 68¢ $3,680 $3,765 +$85 (+2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $3,050 $3,087 +$37 (+1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? No 84¢ 86¢ $2,883 $2,943 +$60 (+2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 68¢ 69¢ $2,745 $2,789 +$44 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 82¢ $2,546 $2,576 +$30 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 62¢ 62¢ $2,528 $2,494 −$34 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 37¢ 32¢ $2,519 $2,164 −$355 (-14%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 82¢ 82¢ $2,152 $2,159 +$7 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 39¢ 42¢ $1,810 $1,927 +$117 (+6%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 53¢ 52¢ $1,863 $1,808 −$56 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 48¢ $1,761 $1,787 +$26 (+1%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? No 36¢ 40¢ $1,613 $1,755 +$143 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $1,659 $1,657 −$2 (-0%)
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 53¢ 55¢ $1,587 $1,626 +$40 (+3%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $1,648 $1,626 −$22 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 49¢ 48¢ $1,563 $1,561 −$2 (-0%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ 40¢ $1,569 $1,537 −$32 (-2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,498 $1,521 +$23 (+2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 36¢ $1,362 $1,357 −$4 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 60¢ 68¢ $1,105 $1,237 +$132 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $206 +$50 +24%
FF Jaro vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $190 +$156 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$7 +138%
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $152 +$171 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $127 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $185 −$185 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $123 +$5 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $106 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$24
other 23% −$294
crypto 0% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 55¢ $77 0m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 55¢ $92 0m
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY No 66¢ $10 0m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 51¢ $4 1m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $54 1m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 51¢ $10 1m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 49¢ $24 2m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 72¢ $288 3m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 73¢ $292 3m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 3m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 73¢ $73 3m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 73¢ $438 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 70¢ $7 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 44¢ $94 3m
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals BUY No 81¢ $5 4m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 73¢ $73 4m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 73¢ $1,022 4m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 72¢ $864 4m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $9 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $1 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $2 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 70¢ $22 6m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 44¢ $1 6m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 47¢ $188 6m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 47¢ $266 6m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $25 7m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 53¢ $207 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 70¢ $11 7m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $44 8m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $16 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +9.9% -0.6% 89% 21% +2.9%
≤30d 19 +9.9% -0.6% 89% 21% +2.9%
≤90d 19 +9.9% -0.6% 89% 21% +2.9%
all 19 +9.9% -0.6% 89% 21% +2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3173.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 21% +2.9%
10% ← realistic here -10.1% 21% -6.9%
15% -18.8% 16% -15.9%
20% -26.7% 16% -24.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $125,808.91 · official $125,810.20 (match) · 3500 history records