Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa689…559b
crypto · 318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$556 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$582 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$151
Realized−$582
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses158 / 158
Whale WR (big bets)18%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)316 / 318
History coverage1d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day2347.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 316 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$582
7 days−$582
14 days−$582
30 days−$582
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 56¢ 54¢ $67 $64 −$3 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $31 $45 +$14 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 46¢ $37 $37 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $183 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $286 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $230 −$30 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $198 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $182 +$18 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $98 −$18 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $286 −$15 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $206 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $461 −$17 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $348 −$30 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $178 −$18 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $116 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$32 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $239 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $451 −$25 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $386 −$19 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $401 +$33 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $188 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $380 −$20 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$17 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $178 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$18 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $199 +$39 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $186 +$32 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $107 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $234 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $173 +$27 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $183 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $321 −$26 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $253 +$32 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $265 +$25 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $448 −$48 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $116 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$24 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $109 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $391 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $196 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $209 −$33 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $219 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$26 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $187 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $277 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $113 +$7 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$584
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $23 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $61 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $28 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $56 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $29 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $57 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $19 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $17 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $43 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $60 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $27 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $77 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +4.3% -5.6% 50% 20% -10.3%
≤30d 316 +4.3% -5.6% 50% 20% -10.3%
≤90d 316 +4.3% -5.6% 50% 20% -10.3%
all 316 +4.3% -5.6% 50% 20% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2347.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 20% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 11% -18.8%
15% -22.9% 8% -26.7%
20% -30.5% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.25 · official $149.65 · 3500 history records