Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa680…3384
sports · 844 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$57 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized+$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses806 / 38
Est. fees paid−$244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)844 / 844
History coverage51d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days+$216
14 days+$174
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Philip Sekulic Philip Sekulic 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 98¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauff Coco Gauff 98¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone Marco Trungelliti 91¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetova Polina Kudermetova 96¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso Gianluca Cadenasso 93¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $200 +$12 +6%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $201 +$40 +20%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $200 +$10 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $200 +$8 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $201 +$58 +29%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $201 +$40 +20%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $201 +$32 +16%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $200 +$10 +5%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $200 +$4 +2%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $200 +$12 +6%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $200 −$102 -51%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $200 −$102 -51%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $200 −$65 -33%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $72 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $200 +$4 +2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $200 +$2 +1%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $201 +$52 +26%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $96 +$1 +1%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $200 +$4 +2%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $200 +$6 +3%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $200 +$6 +3%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $200 +$4 +2%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $149 +$1 +1%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$186
other 6% +$240
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 99¢ $200 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 98¢ $200 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 94¢ $200 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 83¢ $201 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 99¢ $200 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 98¢ $200 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 95¢ $200 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 99¢ $200 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 96¢ $200 3h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Robin Montgomery 98¢ $200 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 99¢ $2 4h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 77¢ $201 5h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 99¢ $200 5h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 98¢ $200 6h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 83¢ $201 22h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 99¢ $200 23h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 99¢ $200 23h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 97¢ $200 24h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 86¢ $201 24h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ $38 25h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 95¢ $200 25h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 96¢ $200 26h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 96¢ $200 27h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $200 27h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 94¢ $200 27h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 97¢ $200 27h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 48¢ $8 28h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 48¢ $91 28h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 98¢ $200 28h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 96¢ $200 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +0.9% -8.7% 95% 9% -8.7%
≤30d 452 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 8% -9.5%
≤90d 844 +0.8% -8.8% 95% 6% -9.4%
all 844 +0.8% -8.8% 95% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 6% -9.4%
10% -17.5% 1% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.94 · official $0.00 (match) · 1697 history records