Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa67f…dd6b
crypto · 40 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$29 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses20 / 20
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$38
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Spurs 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$14 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$28
sports 15% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 52¢ $20 1h
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins SELL St. Louis Cardinals 97¢ $19 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 46¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -19.8%
≤30d 40 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -19.8%
≤90d 40 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -19.8%
all 40 -1.3% -10.7% 50% 50% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 50% -19.8%
10% -19.3% 50% -27.4%
15% -27.1% 50% -34.4%
20% -34.2% 50% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 69 history records