Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T15:44:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa67c…0d2c crypto 454 markets active 1h ago coverage 76d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 76d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$5,628 (+13%) realized +$5,628 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%231W / 223L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$93per market
Trades / day38.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 76d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,835
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +54.8% +40.0% 92% 92% +40.0%
≤30d 58 -3.9% -13.0% 57% 57% -15.6%
≤90d 454 -7.3% -16.1% 51% 51% -17.8%
all 454 -7.3% -16.1% 51% 51% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 51% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 51% -25.6%
15% -31.4% 51% -32.8%
20% -38.2% 51% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$74 vs −$94 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,628
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses231 / 223
Open positions0
Markets (closed)454 / 454
History coverage76d ⚠
Avg bet$93
Trades / day38.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 454 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 20 $103 +$69 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$68 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $97 +$67 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $95 +$64 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $94 +$63 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $91 +$61 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $89 +$60 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $86 +$57 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $84 +$58 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$23 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$63 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$56 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$57 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $87 +$60 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$57 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $95 +$67 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 07 $97 +$67 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 07 $94 +$65 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 07 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $96 +$66 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $93 +$64 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 06 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 31 $99 +$68 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 31 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 31 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 31 $103 +$67 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET May 31 $100 +$69 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 30 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 30 $100 +$72 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 30 $100 +$67 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 30 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 30 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 30 $105 +$72 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 30 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET May 30 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 24 $118 −$118 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 24 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 24 $119 +$81 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 24 $115 +$79 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 23 $111 +$77 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $95 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $94 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $91 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $89 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $79 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records