trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | EDward Gaming | 55¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | G2 Esports | 65¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$2 | -89% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -68% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play | Jun 13 | $3 | +$5 | +176% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$4 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 33% | -14.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 33% | -14.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 33% | -14.7% |
| all | 6 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 50% | 33% | -14.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -17.3% | 33% | -14.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -25.2% | 17% | -22.8% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 17% | -30.3% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 17% | -37.1% |