Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa66a…6b6a
other · 3 markets active 3d ago
1.0score
−$2,111 -98%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
Avg bet$719
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$153
14 days−$2,108
30 days−$2,108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $1,955 $0 −$1,955 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? No 0¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $189 −$153 -81%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1,964 −$1,955 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? Jan 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$1,955
other 9% −$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records