Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa666…fae9 crypto 1182 markets active 20h ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (102 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$31 (-1%) realized −$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate62%734W / 448L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day102.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$12
14 days−$45
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (102 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -0.9% -10.4% 72% 62% -15.3%
≤30d 1182 -2.8% -12.1% 62% 41% -14.0%
≤90d 1182 -2.8% -12.1% 62% 41% -14.0%
all 1182 -2.8% -12.1% 62% 41% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover102.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 41% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 24% -22.2%
15% -28.2% 12% -29.7%
20% -35.2% 5% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses734 / 448
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1182 / 1182
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day102.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1182 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2710 history records