Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:53:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A6 0xa662…9e2a crypto 68 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (438 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$35 (-2%) realized −$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate50%34W / 34L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day438.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (438 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 37% -15.5%
≤30d 68 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 37% -15.5%
≤90d 68 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 37% -15.5%
all 68 +0.4% -9.2% 50% 37% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover438.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 37% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 25% -23.6%
15% -25.8% 15% -30.9%
20% -33.1% 10% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
21.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$8 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses34 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage3d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day438.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$18 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $27 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$6 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $38 −$29 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$7 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$22 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $29 −$10 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $27 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$28 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$19 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $23 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $18 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$14 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$25 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $32 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1532 history records