Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa65c…3bc1
sports · 1233 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$408 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$386 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized−$386
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses518 / 624
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions33
Markets (closed)1142 / 1233
History coverage67d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 33 History 1142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$127
14 days+$222
30 days−$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $24 $19 −$5 (-22%)
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 14¢ 11¢ $11 $9 −$3 (-22%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 47¢ 47¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 79¢ 80¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 79¢ 80¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 14¢ 13¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-11%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Toby Samuel 76¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Felix Balshaw 55¢ 55¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jesper de Jong 75¢ 73¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 65¢ 62¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+16%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 34¢ 28¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Kiwoom Heroes 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Afghanistan 15¢ 11¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 88¢ 87¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-9%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand New Zealand 69¢ 72¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $6 +$20 +324%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $7 +$12 +166%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $6 +$8 +123%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $6 +$5 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 +$4 +197%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $7 +$14 +202%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $6 +$3 +41%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $7 −$6 -84%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $6 +$8 +134%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $7 +$6 +89%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $1 +$1 +128%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $7 +$5 +73%
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $7 −$1 -14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 11 $4 $0 -8%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2 +$2 +105%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $6 +$11 +180%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $8 −$1 -13%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $6 $0 -5%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $6 +$14 +226%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $6 +$2 +28%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $6 +$13 +213%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$291
other 17% −$122
finance 12% −$33
politics 3% +$41
world 0% −$4
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 76¢ $6 40m
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 53¢ $1 43m
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $6 48m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 75¢ $6 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 55¢ $6 1h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 58¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 67¢ $1 1h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Polina Iatcenko 60¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 100¢ $26 5h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 65¢ $6 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 50¢ $1 6h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 49¢ $6 6h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $6 6h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria SELL Nicolas Kicker 100¢ $11 6h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Filippo Romano 100¢ $3 6h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Filippo Romano 100¢ $16 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 56¢ $1 6h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 34¢ $6 6h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet SELL Oliver Tarvet 100¢ $14 7h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 100¢ $11 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $6 7h
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Katie Swan 27¢ $6 7h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Dane Sweeny 100¢ $21 8h
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 8h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $6 8h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $9 8h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 23¢ $6 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $1 9h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $2 9h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 100¢ $9 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 +11.1% +0.5% 51% 50% +5.2%
≤30d 984 -5.7% -14.7% 47% 46% -14.7%
≤90d 1142 -8.4% -17.1% 45% 44% -15.6%
all 1142 -8.4% -17.1% 45% 44% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 44% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 41% -23.6%
15% -32.3% 35% -31.0%
20% -39.0% 27% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.30 · official $172.32 (match) · 2852 history records