trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -66.9% | -70.1% | 25% | 25% | -64.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 64% | 36% | -32.1% |
| all | 19 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 68% | 26% | -30.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.9% | 26% | -30.3% |
| 10% | -35.7% | 21% | -36.9% |
| 15% | -41.9% | 11% | -43.0% |
| 20% | -47.6% | 5% | -48.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) | Manel Kape | 60¢ | 60¢ | $77 | $76 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 09 | $70 | −$69 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $71 | −$71 | -99% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 26 | $116 | +$38 | +32% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - | May 21 | $136 | −$134 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 15 | $122 | +$53 | +44% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 15 | $9 | +$1 | +17% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | May 15 | $13 | $0 | +4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 15 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | May 15 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | May 15 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 15 | $29 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 15 | $113 | +$36 | +32% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 29 | $42 | −$42 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 17 | $30 | −$29 | -99% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | Feb 04 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31? | Feb 04 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 31 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Jan 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025? | Jan 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |