Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:13:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa643…22dc
crypto · 1160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$125 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses861 / 299
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1160 / 1160
History coverage78d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$395
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 23 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 23 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 23 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 23 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 22 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 22 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 22 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 22 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 22 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 22 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 22 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 22 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 22 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 22 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 22 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 22 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 21 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 21 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 21 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 21 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 21 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 21 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 21 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 21 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$201
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +4.4% -5.5% 81% 75% +0.6%
≤30d 760 -11.6% -20.1% 78% 5% -11.8%
≤90d 1160 -3.0% -12.2% 74% 24% -10.6%
all 1160 -3.0% -12.2% 74% 24% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 24% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 19% -19.2%
15% -28.3% 13% -27.0%
20% -35.3% 9% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2771 history records